AS Roma vs Sassuolo
Roma look the stronger side at home against a struggling Sassuolo
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceMatch ResultAS Roma to win@ 1.30Suggested stake: 2 units · 1 unit = 1% of your betting bank
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Roma sit 3rd in Serie A on 24 points with a +18 goal difference, unbeaten at home (W4 D1) and scoring 2.8 per game at home this season. Sassuolo are 17th on 8 points, have lost their last four, and have conceded 2.4 per game away, with 0 wins from 5 away league games. Roma also won both meetings last season, 2-0 and 1-0.
Roma's Champions League defeat at Manchester United and the loss of Svilar and Gollini mean a third-choice keeper and some rotation, and Rensch is out for about three weeks. Dybala's fitness is unconfirmed and the line-ups are not yet out, so team news is provisional. Sassuolo are missing Koné and several others, and they have scored in most of their games, so a goal against Roma is quite plausible.
The market rates Roma as a clear favourite, and our statistical model broadly agrees, which supports the win as the main lean. It is Medium rather than High because the price offers no value over the fair chance, the goalkeeper and rotation issues are real, and a draw is still a live outcome. It is not lower because the form, table gap and attacking numbers all point the same way.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (380 matches): 2.67 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 51%, both teams scored in 48%, 9.0 corners, 3.8 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Related articles
All articles →
Sassuolo vs Lazio Prediction: Serie A Preview and Team News
Unbeaten leaders Lazio visit a Sassuolo side with one point from four. Our preview covers form, team news and what the market says before Tuesday's 17:30 kick-off.
AS Roma vs Real Madrid prediction and preview
Roma host Real Madrid in the Champions League on Wednesday 14 October. Recent form, the opening league results and team news set the scene for the match.
Recommended predictions
The strongest picks we have published for the coming matches.
Why bettors use Tipstrel
Every pick is timestamped at least 12 hours before the match and never edited afterwards.
Wins and losses are settled automatically from the final score and stay public.
Form, league table, season statistics, injuries and line-ups for each match.
Bookmaker prices are the baseline - we look for concrete reasons to side with or against them.
Selections are written in full, exactly as they appear on a betting slip.
No pick is forced onto a fixture - where the data is thin we publish nothing.