Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis
2 - 1
- 93'AYellow card - Isco
- 90'HSubstitution - Ethan Nwaneri · for Fábio Silva
- 88'AYellow card - Ángel Ortiz
- 79'HYellow card - Jobe Bellingham
- 78'HYellow card - Joey Veerman
- 78'ASubstitution - José Antonio Morante Antúnez · for Troy Parrott
- 78'ASubstitution - Marc Roca · for Facundo Bernal
- 75'HSubstitution - Kouakou Joane Gadou · for Ramy Bensebaini
- 75'HSubstitution - Carney Chukwuemeka · for Felix Nmecha
- 74'HSubstitution - Maximilian Beier · for Julian Ryerson
- 72'HGoal - Konstantinos Karetsas · Assist: Fábio Silva
- 70'ASubstitution - Francisco José García Torres · for Diego Valentín Gómez
- 67'AGoal - Aitor Ruibal · Assist: Abde Ezzalzouli
- 64'AYellow card - Diego Valentín Gómez
- 62'ASubstitution - Aitor Ruibal · for Dani Ceballos
- 62'ASubstitution - Isco · for Antony Matheus dos Santos
- 49'HYellow card - Ramy Bensebaini
- 49'HGoal - Fábio Silva
- 44'AYellow card - Natan Bernardo de Souza
- 38'HYellow card - Julian Ryerson
- 34'HSubstitution - Konstantinos Karetsas · for Serhou Guirassy
- 6
- Shots on target
- 4
- 15
- Shots
- 11
- 2
- Corners
- 5
- 53
- Possession %
- 47
Dortmund vs Betis: lean on the visitors finding a goal in Dortmund
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonTeam GoalsReal Betis Over 0.5 Goals@ 1.33Suggested stake: 2 units · 1 unit = 1% of your betting bank
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Real Betis arrive fifth in the league phase with 9 points and three straight wins. They have scored in 13 of their last 14 matches and 5 of their last 6 away. Dortmund sit 13th on 6 points, have kept no clean sheet in three Champions League games and are conceding 2.0 per home game in the competition this season.
The market rates Dortmund as clear favourites, which fits a home record of W16-D3-L3 over the last 12 months and 2.41 goals scored per home game, led by Guirassy (8 goals). Betis are without Cucho Hernandez, their highest-rated attacker (3 goals, 2 assists), and Firpo. Isco, Ezzalzouli and Antony are expected to carry the threat.
Medium rather than High: Dortmund have kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 10, including 1-0 wins over Frankfurt and Stuttgart, and Cucho's absence takes a goal threat out of the Betis attack. It is not lower because the market, our model and Betis's scoring record all point the same way, and Dortmund's defence has leaked in Europe. Line-ups are still provisional, so we hold this as a lean rather than anything firmer.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (288 matches): 3.38 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 63%, both teams scored in 57%, 9.6 corners, 4.0 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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