- 86'HSubstitution - Joe Gelhardt · for Mohamed Belloumi
- 86'HSubstitution - Robinio Vaz · for Oliver McBurnie
- 78'ASubstitution - El Hadji Malick Diouf · for Keane Lewis-Potter
- 78'ASubstitution - Callum Wilson · for Dango Ouattara
- 72'HSubstitution - Hidemasa Morita · for Tim Iroegbunam
- 65'HSubstitution - Mohamed Ali Cho · for Ryan Giles
- 65'HSubstitution - Brooke Norton-Cuffy · for Lewie Coyle
- 63'AGoal - Dango Ouattara · Assist: Igor Thiago
- 62'ASubstitution - Jaidon Anthony · for Kevin Schade
- 62'ASubstitution - Mikkel Damsgaard · for Aaron Hickey
- 24'HGoal - Oliver McBurnie · Penalty
- 23'AYellow card - Aaron Hickey
- 2
- Shots on target
- 6
- 12
- Shots
- 14
- 5
- Corners
- 6
- 42
- Possession %
- 58
Under 3.5 goals gets a cautious lean
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonTotal GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals@ 1.50
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Hull have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded across three unbeaten home league games. Brentford have drawn all three away league fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals both scored and conceded, making under 3.5 goals at 1.50 a plausible option.
Three of each team's last five matches finished below four goals, including Hull's latest 0-1 defeat and Brentford's 1-2 loss. However, both sides also recorded two 2-2 draws in those sequences, so the recent scoring evidence is mixed.
The estimated 69% chance supports Medium confidence and narrowly exceeds the price's 66.7% break-even threshold. Hull's relatively low-scoring home figures support that assessment, but the small sample, recent four-goal draws and unconfirmed line-ups prevent a High rating.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (370 matches): 2.76 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 53%, both teams scored in 55%, 9.9 corners, 4.2 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Related articles
All articles →
Hull City vs Brentford Result: Under 3.5 Goals Prediction Won
Hull City and Brentford drew 1-1, so our Under 3.5 Goals pick at estimated odds of 1.50 won. Here is what the data showed beforehand and how the match played out.
Everton vs Coventry Prediction and Preview: Friday Premier League
Everton host newly promoted Coventry on Friday at 20:00. Form, injuries, head-to-head and key numbers to weigh up before kick-off.
Newcastle vs Everton Prediction Result: Under 2.5 Team Goals Won
Our Newcastle Under 2.5 Goals pick at estimated odds of 1.25 won after Everton's 1-0 victory. Here is what the data showed and how the match played out.
Recommended predictions
The strongest picks we have published for the coming matches.
Universitatea Craiovavs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
FC Luganovs
Kauno ŽalgirisWhy bettors use Tipstrel
Every pick is timestamped at least 12 hours before the match and never edited afterwards.
Wins and losses are settled automatically from the final score and stay public.
Form, league table, season statistics, injuries and line-ups for each match.
Bookmaker prices are the baseline - we look for concrete reasons to side with or against them.
Selections are written in full, exactly as they appear on a betting slip.
No pick is forced onto a fixture - where the data is thin we publish nothing.