Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers109 - 114

Philadelphia arrive 3-1 and second in the East, conceding 428 points across those four games. Indiana sit eighth at 2-2 with a 466/460 points record. The market rates the Sixers as narrow road favourites, which matches their stronger start.

Indiana's injury list is the heavier one: T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard and Johnny Furphy are out, Ivica Zubac and Aaron Nesmith are game-time decisions and Andrew Nembhard is day-to-day. The Pacers have also struggled at home, winning a quarter of their games there and conceding 120.0 per game. Philadelphia's road form is a concern, though, at 106.7 scored and 119.3 conceded away.

Taking the Sixers with a 3.5-point start covers both a Philadelphia win and a narrow Pacers win, which leans with both the market and the team news. It is Medium rather than High because Philadelphia's away splits are poor, Joel Embiid's return is unconfirmed and Tyrese Maxey is being monitored after a head knock. It is not Low because the market, the table and the injury balance all point the same way.