Liverpool vs Manchester City
0 - 3
- 91'HYellow card - Virgil van Dijk
- 88'HSubstitution - Federico Chiesa · for Bradley Barcola
- 88'HSubstitution - Joe Gomez · for Jérémy Jacquet
- 86'AYellow card - Ayyoub Bouaddi
- 80'ASubstitution - Ayyoub Bouaddi · for Enzo Fernández
- 80'ASubstitution - Allan Andrade Elias · for Erling Haaland
- 78'AGoal - Rayan Cherki · Assist: Josko Gvardiol
- 75'HSubstitution - Rio Ngumoha · for Lewis Koumas
- 75'HSubstitution - Jeremie Frimpong · for Ronald Araujo
- 68'AGoal - Jeremy Doku · Assist: Elliot Anderson
- 66'ASubstitution - Josko Gvardiol · for Nico O'Reilly
- 66'HSubstitution - Treymaurice Nyoni · for Florian Wirtz
- 65'AGoal - Erling Haaland
- 62'HRed card - Ryan Gravenberch
- 58'AYellow card - Nico O'Reilly
- 56'ASubstitution - Jeremy Doku · for Iliman Ndiaye
- 47'HYellow card - Ryan Gravenberch
- 8'HYellow card - Ronald Araujo
- 6
- Shots on target
- 4
- 13
- Shots
- 14
- 5
- Corners
- 6
- 36
- Possession %
- 64
City's unbeaten start supports draw protection at Liverpool
Our picks (2)
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonDouble ChanceManchester City or Draw@ 1.36
- Medium confidenceWonTotal GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals@ 1.57
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Manchester City are top with 15 points from five wins, while sixth-placed Liverpool have nine points and two draws from two home league matches. Manchester City or Draw at 1.44 offers a supported lean with protection against another Liverpool draw, rather than requiring an away victory.
Liverpool average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded at home, and four of their last five matches finished below four goals. Under 3.5 at 1.57 also draws support from City's 0.5 goals conceded per away league game and the reported absences of Liverpool attackers Isak and Gakpo, although City's recent 5-3 result highlights the risk.
The main pick carries Medium confidence because City's perfect league start and stronger away figures support it, but Liverpool remain unbeaten and Foden is suspended for City. Those counterweights and unpublished line-ups prevent High confidence, while the table and form evidence make this more than a Low-confidence lean.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (370 matches): 2.76 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 53%, both teams scored in 55%, 9.9 corners, 4.2 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
Related articles
All articles →Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction: Premier League preview
Liverpool host five-from-five league leaders Manchester City on Sunday. Recent form, team news and the head-to-head record set the scene for a significant early-season meeting.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Preview: Team News, Form and Stats
Liverpool host Arsenal at Anfield on Sunday 1 November (16:30 UK). Our preview covers form, injuries, season numbers and what the data says about a big Premier League clash.
Everton vs Coventry Prediction and Preview: Friday Premier League
Everton host newly promoted Coventry on Friday at 20:00. Form, injuries, head-to-head and key numbers to weigh up before kick-off.
Recommended predictions
The strongest picks we have published for the coming matches.
Universitatea Craiovavs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
FC Luganovs
Kauno ŽalgirisWhy bettors use Tipstrel
Every pick is timestamped at least 12 hours before the match and never edited afterwards.
Wins and losses are settled automatically from the final score and stay public.
Form, league table, season statistics, injuries and line-ups for each match.
Bookmaker prices are the baseline - we look for concrete reasons to side with or against them.
Selections are written in full, exactly as they appear on a betting slip.
No pick is forced onto a fixture - where the data is thin we publish nothing.