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Manchester UnitedManchester United vs TottenhamTottenham1 - 1

Full timeMatch time
0'HT90'
Match eventsManchester United / Tottenham
  1. 98'AYellow card - Archie Gray
  2. 96'HYellow card - Diogo Dalot
  3. 95'HSubstitution - Marcus Rashford · for Matheus Cunha
  4. 95'HSubstitution - Ayden Heaven · for Luke Shaw
  5. 92'AGoal - Dominic Solanke · Assist: Sandro Tonali
  6. 89'ASubstitution - Mateus Fernandes · for Marcos Senesi
  7. 87'HYellow card - Lisandro Martínez
  8. 84'HYellow card - Bruno Fernandes
  9. 78'ARed card - Rodrigo Bentancur
  10. 78'AYellow card - Jan Paul van Hecke
  11. 78'HYellow card - Luke Shaw
  12. 74'ASubstitution - Micky van de Ven · for Destiny Udogie
  13. 74'ASubstitution - James Maddison · for Conor Gallagher
  14. 73'HGoal - Bryan Mbeumo · Assist: Matheus Cunha
  15. 66'ASubstitution - Omar Marmoush · for Mohammed Kudus
  16. 66'ASubstitution - Rodrigo Bentancur · for Lucas Bergvall
  17. 59'HSubstitution - Carlos Baleba · for Youri Tielemans
  18. 59'HSubstitution - Diogo Dalot · for Leny Yoro
  19. 59'HSubstitution - Joshua Zirkzee · for Amad Diallo
  20. 4'AYellow card - Conor Gallagher
Attacking pressurefrom shots and corners so far
Manchester UnitedTottenham
52%48%
4
Shots on target
3
11
Shots
12
4
Corners
4
45
Possession %
55

Under 3.5 goals preferred as Tottenham's scoring struggles persist

Our main prediction · Total Goals
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
Medium
Confidence
60%
Implied by the odds

Our picks (2)

odds are estimates
  • Total Goals
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.67
    Medium confidenceWon
  • Both Teams To Score
    Both Teams To Score - No@ 2.50
    Medium confidenceLost

Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.

Full analysis

Under 3.5 goals at 1.67 is the main lean: three of each side's last five supplied results finished below four goals. Tottenham are bottom with two points and have failed to score in four of five league matches, strengthening the case against a high total.

Both teams to score — No at 2.50 also looks worth considering, with Tottenham averaging 0.0 goals across their two league away games and recording recent 0-0 draws against Everton and Nottingham Forest. United's absence of a league clean sheet is a significant counterweight, so this remains a Medium-confidence selection.

United's home averages of 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded, alongside recent 2-3 defeats for both teams, prevent High confidence in the main pick; its 1.67 price also falls outside the High-confidence threshold. Medium rather than Low is justified by the recent totals pattern and Tottenham's repeated scoring failures, although the small samples and unpublished line-ups limit the edge.

The numbers behind it

Manchester United
LLDDLDLLLW
Last 10, oldest to newest
Tottenham
WLDDLLDWWW
Last 10, oldest to newest
Manchester Unitedlast 10 gamesTottenham
0.9Goals scored / game1.6
2.0Goals conceded / game1.1
4.4Shots on target / game5.3
5.4Corners won / game8.8
3.5Corners conceded / game3.9
2.5Cards / game1.6

This competition over the last 12 months (370 matches): 2.76 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 53%, both teams scored in 55%, 9.9 corners, 4.2 cards a game.

This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

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