Pelicans lean home against a struggling Jazz side
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonMatch WinnerNew Orleans Pelicans to win@ 1.44Suggested stake: 1 unit · 1 unit = 1% of your betting bank
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Full analysis
New Orleans (3-4, 11th in the West) have scored 853 and conceded 841 this season, a small positive margin, and arrive on WWWLL form. Utah (1-6, 14th) are on a five-game losing streak and have scored 749 against 832 conceded, a clearly negative points difference. The market rates the Pelicans as clear favourites, which fits the table and scoring gap.
Dejounte Murray is off the injury report after personal leave, which suggests the Pelicans get their guard back, though Herbert Jones may lose his starting spot and Yves Missi's knee status is unconfirmed. Utah have Mo Bamba (ankle) and Tony Bradley (quad) questionable. Utah's road scoring of 107.0 per game is modest, while New Orleans score 114.2 at home.
The Pelicans to win is a Medium-confidence lean rather than High because the samples are small (7 to 11 games), the Pelicans' defence is not strong and Missi's availability is unclear. It is not lower because current form, points difference, a likely Murray return and Utah's losing run agree with the market's view. The spreads are less likely to land at their prices, so the straight result is the better supported option.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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