Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP
0 - 1
- 90'HSubstitution - Luca Meirelles · for Alisson
- 90'HSubstitution - Lucas Ferreira · for Mykola Matvienko
- 88'ASubstitution - Salvador Blopa · for Maximiliano Araujo
- 88'ASubstitution - João Simões · for Issa Doumbia
- 83'ASubstitution - Iván Fresneda · for Geny Catamo
- 83'HSubstitution - Lassina Traore · for Marlon Gomes
- 74'HYellow card - Isaque
- 70'ASubstitution - Rodrigo Zalazar · for Fotis Ioannidis
- 67'HSubstitution - Isaque · for Egor Nazaryna
- 67'HSubstitution - Newerton · for Gleiker Mendoza
- 66'AYellow card - Maximiliano Araujo
- 59'AGoal - Issa Doumbia
- 4
- Shots on target
- 3
- 14
- Shots
- 10
- 7
- Corners
- 2
- 54
- Possession %
- 46
Shakhtar lean to find the net against a Sporting side that has been conceding
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceLostTeam GoalsShakhtar Donetsk Over 0.5 Goals@ 1.33Suggested stake: 2 units · 1 unit = 1% of your betting bank
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
Shakhtar have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches at 1.9 goals a game, with 5.3 shots on target. They failed to score only in the 0-0 against Zorya and the 0-1 at Inter. They sit 17th in the league phase on 4 points but beat AEK Athens 3-1 in their last Champions League home game.
Sporting are 12th on 6 points and rated clear favourites by the market, but they have conceded in 7 of their last 10, including the 2-3 home loss to LASK and 1-2 against Academico Viseu. They are without defenders Debast and Nuno Santos plus midfielder Zalazar. Shakhtar miss Eguinaldo, but scorers Kauã Elias and Alisson Santana are available.
This is Medium rather than High because Sporting's away defence has been solid (0.7 conceded per game in their last six away matches). Shakhtar also face long travel to their London base, and line-ups are not yet confirmed. It is not lower because the sharp market and our model both make a Shakhtar goal clearly more likely than not, and Sporting's leaky recent run supports that.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (288 matches): 3.38 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 63%, both teams scored in 57%, 9.6 corners, 4.0 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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