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VillarrealVillarreal vs Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain0 - 6

Champions League logoChampions League·Tuesday 3 November at 20:00
Full timeMatch time
0'HT90'
Match eventsVillarreal / Paris Saint Germain
  1. 79'HSubstitution - Pau Navarro · for Alex Freeman
  2. 78'HYellow card - Alberto Moleiro
  3. 78'AGoal - David Boly · Assist: João Neves
  4. 74'ASubstitution - David Boly · for Achraf Hakimi
  5. 74'ASubstitution - Quentin Ndjantou · for Désiré Doue
  6. 74'ASubstitution - Lucas Beraldo · for Vitinha
  7. 74'AYellow card - Quentin Ndjantou
  8. 66'HYellow card - Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
  9. 63'HSubstitution - Tani Oluwaseyi · for Carlos Romero
  10. 63'HSubstitution - Georges Mikautadze · for Ayoze Pérez
  11. 63'HSubstitution - Alberto Moleiro · for Santi Comesaña
  12. 60'ASubstitution - Mika Godts · for Senny Mayulu
  13. 60'ASubstitution - Ferrán Torres · for Maghnes Akliouche
  14. 50'HYellow card - Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
  15. 50'AGoal - Fabián Ruiz · Assist: Vitinha
  16. 45'HYellow card - Santi Comesaña
  17. 45'HSubstitution - Sergi Cardona Bermúdez · for Nicolas Pépé
  18. 17'AGoal - Fabián Ruiz · Assist: Maghnes Akliouche
  19. 13'AGoal - Senny Mayulu
  20. 12'AGoal - Désiré Doue · Assist: Maghnes Akliouche
  21. 9'AGoal - João Neves
Attacking pressurefrom shots and corners so far
VillarrealParis Saint Germain
26%74%
2
Shots on target
12
13
Shots
22
4
Corners
8
29
Possession %
71

Villarreal vs PSG: depleted PSG back line leans toward a home goal

Our main prediction · Team Goals
Villarreal Over 0.5 Goals
1.28
Suggested stake 2 units
Medium
Confidence
78%
Implied by the odds

Our pick

odds are estimates
  • Team Goals
    Villarreal Over 0.5 Goals@ 1.28
    Suggested stake: 2 units · 1 unit = 1% of your betting bank
    Medium confidenceLost

Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.

Full analysis

PSG arrive top of the league phase on 9 points with a +9 goal difference. They have won their last nine in all competitions, including 4-2 wins over Barcelona and at Manchester City, and the market rates them clear favourites. Villarreal sit 19th on 3 points, but they have scored in all three CL games this season, averaging 3.0 per home game, and in 10 of their last 14 overall.

Team news cuts into PSG's defence: Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes are listed out, alongside Dembele and Kvaratskhelia in attack. PSG have already conceded in 13 of their last 18, with both teams scoring in 7 of their last 10 away games. Villarreal miss Akhomach and Saliba, with Gerard Moreno doubtful, but Mikautadze (5 goals) and Moleiro (2 goals, 4 assists) carry the attack.

Medium rather than High because Villarreal blanked in two of their last three home games (0-1 Espanyol, 0-0 Elche) and line-ups are still provisional. Not lower, because the sharp market and our model agree on a home goal around three times in four, and PSG are without two first-choice defenders.

The numbers behind it

Villarreal
WWLWDLWWLL
Last 10, oldest to newest
Paris Saint Germain
WWWWWWWWWW
Last 10, oldest to newest
Villarreallast 10 gamesParis Saint Germain
1.9Goals scored / game3.6
1.6Goals conceded / game0.9
4.7Shots on target / game10.2
6.0Corners won / game4.8
5.2Corners conceded / game4.2
2.3Cards / game0.7

This competition over the last 12 months (288 matches): 3.38 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 63%, both teams scored in 57%, 9.6 corners, 4.0 cards a game.

This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

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