- 91'AYellow card - Richard Kone
- 90'AYellow card - Amadou Salif Mbengue
- 80'ASubstitution - Amadou Salif Mbengue · for Kwame Poku
- 70'HGoal - Jarrod Bowen
- 69'ASubstitution - Richard Kone · for Rayan Jawad Kolli
- 69'ASubstitution - Tariq Lamptey · for Boy Kemper
- 68'HSubstitution - Joel Piroe · for Manor Solomon
- 68'HSubstitution - Lewis Orford · for Divine Mukasa
- 66'AYellow card - Glen Kamara
- 65'HYellow card - Felipe Morato
- 62'HYellow card - Maximilian Kilman
- 60'ASubstitution - Harvey Vale · for Paul Smyth
- 45'HSubstitution - Edvin Austbö · for Kyle Walker-Peters
- 45'HSubstitution - Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus · for Tomáš Souček
- 24'AYellow card - Boy Kemper
- 18'AGoal - Nicolas Madsen · Penalty
- 17'HYellow card - Arne Engels
- 5
- Shots on target
- 3
- 12
- Shots
- 7
- 4
- Corners
- 1
- 65
- Possession %
- 35
West Ham's scoring form favours over 2.5 goals
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceLostTotal GoalsOver 2.5 Goals@ 1.57
Selections are named as on a bookmaker's slip, so they are easy to find. Add one to your ticket to keep it with the rest of your picks and see how it settles.
Full analysis
West Ham average 3.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home, with no scoring blanks across eight league matches. Their last five results—2-2, 2-3, 6-0, 3-2 and 3-0—all exceeded 2.5 goals.
QPR average 1.5 goals scored away, offering some support for their contribution to the total. However, they concede just 0.8 per away game, and their recent 1-1 and 0-0 away draws are clear counterweights.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 requires roughly a 65% success rate, and West Ham's scoring figures and recent results suggest a modest edge above that threshold. Confidence is Medium because QPR's away defence limits the case, the price is above the High-confidence range, and team news remains provisional.
The numbers behind it
This competition over the last 12 months (562 matches): 2.72 goals a game, over 2.5 goals in 54%, both teams scored in 59%, 10.4 corners, 4.0 cards a game.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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