Trail Blazers look to keep it close in Phoenix with a points cushion
Our pick
odds are estimates- Medium confidenceWonPoint SpreadPortland Trail Blazers +4.5@ 1.35Suggested stake: 2 units · 1 unit = 1% of your betting bank
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Full analysis
Portland come in with a WWLWW run this season, scoring 120.3 points per game away and conceding 112.5, with an away win rate of 0.833 across the sample. Phoenix have not won on the road (0.000 win rate away) and concede 116.5 points per game at home, in a ten-game sample. The sharp market rates Portland as the slight favourite, so a 4.5-point cushion looks well protected.
Portland are missing Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe, with Terrence Shannon Jr. questionable, which takes away playmaking and scoring depth. Phoenix are without Mark Williams, with Jordan Goodwin and Rasheer Fleming questionable, though Devin Booker and Jalen Green are not on the injury report. The absences narrow Portland's edge, which is why the handicap is preferred to the outright win.
Portland +4.5 is rated Medium rather than High because the injury list on the Blazers' side and the small samples of 9-10 games leave room for a comfortable Phoenix home win. It is not Low because the market makes Portland the favoured side and the line gives them a decent margin for error, and it is a market where our record has been strong.
This prediction expresses statistical probability, not certainty. Odds shown are an estimate for illustration only, not a live bookmaker price. Tipstrel does not accept bets. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.
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